Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Tondela |
54.78% | 25.43% | 19.78% |
Both teams to score 44.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.72% | 57.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.88% | 78.12% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.04% | 20.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.3% | 53.7% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.19% | 43.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.03% | 79.97% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Tondela |
1-0 @ 14.34% 2-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 4.82% 4-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.77% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 9.18% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.58% 1-2 @ 4.89% 0-2 @ 3.13% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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