Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 35.27%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.04%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (12.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
34.48% | 30.24% | 35.27% |
Both teams to score 41.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.14% | 65.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.51% | 84.49% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.15% | 35.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.37% | 72.63% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.69% | 35.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.93% | 72.06% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 12.98% 2-1 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.02% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.65% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.23% | 0-1 @ 13.17% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 6.86% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.12% Total : 35.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |