Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
32.58% | 26.95% | 40.48% |
Both teams to score 50.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.4% | 54.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.06% | 75.94% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.74% | 31.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.39% | 67.61% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% | 26.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.33% | 61.68% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.58% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 10.99% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 7.31% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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