Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 14.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Chaves |
65.46% ( 0.25) | 20.43% ( -0.13) | 14.11% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 47.78% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.25% ( 0.28) | 46.75% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.99% ( 0.27) | 69.01% ( -0.27) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.53% ( 0.16) | 13.47% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.53% ( 0.32) | 40.47% ( -0.33) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.21% ( -0.01) | 44.79% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.24% ( -0) | 80.76% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Chaves |
2-0 @ 12.12% 1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 65.45% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.43% | 0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.05% 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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