Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Arouca | 3 | -2 | 6 |
6 | Braga | 2 | 3 | 4 |
7 | Estoril Praia | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Pacos de Ferreira | 2 | -4 | 0 |
17 | Maritimo | 2 | -5 | 0 |
18 | Famalicao | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Maritimo |
61.02% ( 0.09) | 22.18% ( -0.03) | 16.8% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.53% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.97% ( 0) | 49.03% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.89% ( 0) | 71.11% ( -0) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.4% ( 0.03) | 15.6% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.42% ( 0.06) | 44.58% ( -0.06) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.5% ( -0.08) | 42.5% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.13% ( -0.07) | 78.87% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 61.01% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 16.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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