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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Burnley logo

Wolves
1 - 0
Burnley

Hee-chan (42')
Lemina (57'), Kilman (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brownhill (2'), Berge (53'), Taylor (63'), Ekdal (74')

The Match

Match Report

Hwang Hee-chan scores the only goal as Wolverhampton Wanderers beat Burnley 1-0 at Molineux.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 5-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBurnley
37.56% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 25.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 37.39% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.63% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)45.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86% (0.040000000000003 0.04)68.14% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)24.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (0.010000000000005 0.01)58.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (0.037000000000006 0.04)24.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (0.050000000000004 0.05)58.43% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 37.56%
    Burnley 37.4%
    Draw 25.03%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBurnley
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 37.56%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.96% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 37.4%

How you voted: Wolves vs Burnley

Wolverhampton Wanderers
76.9%
Draw
14.0%
Burnley
9.1%
186
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2022 12.30pm
Club Friendlies
Wolves
3-0
Burnley
Gibbs-White (3'), Podence (26'), Chiquinho (54')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 34
Burnley
1-0
Wolves
Vydra (62')
Vydra (33'), Taylor (77'), Barnes (90+4')

Neto (90+4')
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Wolves
0-0
Burnley
Hee-chan (18'), Kilman (86')
Mee (7'), Lowton (18'), Rodriguez (64')
Apr 25, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 33
Wolves
0-4
Burnley
Wood (15', 21', 44'), Westwood (85')
Tarkowski (39'), Traore (39'), Lowton (42')
Dec 21, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Burnley
2-1
Wolves
Barnes (35'), Wood (51')
Westwood (36'), Rodriguez (90+4')
Silva (89' pen.)
Otasowie (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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