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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The City Ground
Brighton logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 3
Brighton

Elanga (3'), Gibbs-White (76' pen.)
Toffolo (54'), Niakhate (74')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ferguson (26'), Pedro (45+4', 58' pen.)
Adingra (65'), Dunk (72'), Ferguson (74'), Verbruggen (82'), Buonanotte (90+4')
Dunk (73')

The Match

Match Report

Ten-man Brighton & Hove Albion hold on for a hard-fought 3-2 win over Nottingham Forest at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
29.1% (-0.225 -0.23) 23.99% (-0.101 -0.1) 46.91% (0.328 0.33)
Both teams to score 58.54% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.55% (0.33000000000001 0.33)43.44% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.16% (0.324 0.32)65.84% (-0.321 -0.32)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (0.017000000000003 0.02)63.65% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31% (0.264 0.26)18.69% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97% (0.44 0.44)50.03% (-0.438 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 29.1%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 46.91%
    Draw 23.99%
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 29.1%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.33% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.2% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 46.91%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Brighton

Nottingham Forest
33.3%
Draw
28.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
37.7%
114
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Brighton
Gross (45+3' og.), Danilo (69'), Gibbs-White (90+1' pen.)
Oct 18, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Brighton
Clough (60', 98' pen.), Osborn (89')

Stephens (45'), Dunk (63'), Rosenior (98')
Aug 12, 2016 7.45pm
Brighton
3-0
Nott'm Forest
Knockaert (36'), Murray (68', 82')
Bong (43'), Hemed (58'), Baldock (88')

Kasami (45'), Iacovitti (59'), Burke (67'), Pereira (73'), Lansbury (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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