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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
St James' Park
Wolves logo

Newcastle
2 - 1
Wolves

Isak (26'), Almiron (79')
Isak (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hee-chan (70')
Podence (44'), Semedo (58')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United move into fifth position in the Premier League table courtesy of a 2-1 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Spurs
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
58% (-0.178 -0.18) 23.86% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 18.13% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.1% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.36% (-0.268 -0.27)53.63% (0.266 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (-0.224 -0.22)75.13% (0.224 0.22)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (-0.166 -0.17)18.29% (0.165 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64% (-0.281 -0.28)49.36% (0.279 0.28)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.41% (-0.064 -0.06)43.58% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)79.78% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 57.99%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 18.13%
    Draw 23.86%
Newcastle UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 13.54% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.5%
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 57.99%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.67% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Wolves

Newcastle United
66.1%
Draw
21.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
12.8%
180
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Apr 8, 2022 8pm
Newcastle
1-0
Wolves
Wood (72' pen.)
Schar (56')

Moutinho (87')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Wolves
2-1
Newcastle
Hee-chan (20', 58')
Lage (44')
Hendrick (41')
Clark (56'), Manquillo (60')
Feb 27, 2021 8pm
Oct 25, 2020 4.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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