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Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Brighton
3 - 1
Bournemouth

Kerkez (45+2' og.), Mitoma (46', 77')
Veltman (37'), Gilmour (45+3'), Dunk (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Solanke (25')
Zabarnyi (41'), Brooks (89'), Senesi (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Roberto de Zerbi's inspired substitutions earn Brighton & Hove Albion a 3-1 win over Bournemouth at The American Express Community Stadium this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
63.46% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 19.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 16.87% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.1% (0.141 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.25% (0.139 0.14)37.74% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.01% (0.149 0.15)59.99% (-0.151 -0.15)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (0.031999999999996 0.03)11.31% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.03% (0.073999999999998 0.07)35.96% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (0.134 0.13)35.61% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.62% (0.139 0.14)72.38% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 63.46%
    Bournemouth 16.87%
    Draw 19.66%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.91% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.65%
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 63.46%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.66%
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 16.87%

How you voted: Brighton vs Bournemouth

Brighton & Hove Albion
82.7%
Draw
12.7%
Bournemouth
4.5%
110
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bournemouth
0-2
Brighton
Ferguson (28'), Enciso (90+1')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Jan 21, 2020 7.30pm
Dec 28, 2019 12.30pm
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 34
Brighton
0-5
Bournemouth

Andone (50'), Bissouma (78')
Knockaert (68')
Gosling (33'), Fraser (55'), Brooks (74'), Wilson (82'), Stanislas (92')
Ake (22'), Mepham (50'), Gosling (64'), Boruc (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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