Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 50.45%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
50.45% ( 1.98) | 23.91% ( 0.21) | 25.64% ( -2.19) |
Both teams to score 55.95% ( -2.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.44% ( -2.64) | 45.56% ( 2.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.11% ( -2.57) | 67.88% ( 2.56) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.89% ( -0.24) | 18.11% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.95% ( -0.42) | 49.05% ( 0.41) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.33% ( -3.05) | 31.67% ( 3.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.91% ( -3.66) | 68.08% ( 3.65) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.99) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.79) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.45% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.4) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.72% Total : 25.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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