National League North | Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Hereford2 - 2Buxton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Buxton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hereford 4-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 23 at 3.30pm in National League North
Saturday, March 23 at 3.30pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
55
Last Game: Buxton 1-4 Chester
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
63
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Buxton |
43.32% ( -0.24) | 25.06% ( 0.13) | 31.62% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 56.3% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.98% ( -0.51) | 47.02% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.74% ( -0.48) | 69.26% ( 0.47) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.3% ( -0.32) | 21.7% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.15% ( -0.5) | 54.85% ( 0.49) |
Buxton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% ( -0.18) | 28.11% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.22% ( -0.23) | 63.78% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Hereford United 43.33%
Buxton 31.62%
Draw 25.05%
Hereford United | Draw | Buxton |
1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 43.33% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.62% |
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-09 11:26:23
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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