Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Lyon |
54.27% ( -1.21) | 22.42% ( 0.3) | 23.31% ( 0.9) |
Both teams to score 58.39% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.86% ( -0.35) | 41.13% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.47% ( -0.36) | 63.53% ( 0.35) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.87% ( -0.52) | 15.13% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.3% ( -0.98) | 43.7% ( 0.98) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% ( 0.59) | 31.2% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% ( 0.69) | 67.54% ( -0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.9% Total : 54.27% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.76% Total : 23.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |