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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Montreal Impact

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
Montreal

Reyes (23'), Burke (38')
Casseres Jr (45')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Waterman (29')
Camacho (16'), Duke (32'), Herrera (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Montreal
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-0 CF Montreal

The Red Bulls appear to be back to their old selves defensively, and although they still have work to do in the attacking third, we expect them to get a big boost from the return of numerous players who were missing earlier this week. It has been a Jekyll and Hyde season for Le CFM, and they could find it difficult to penetrate a Red Bulls team who look reinvigorated defensively since changing coaches.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawCF Montreal
52.32% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 21.8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 45.85% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.19% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.81% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)77.74% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.79% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.99% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.11%77.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 52.31%
    CF Montreal 21.8%
    Draw 25.87%
New York Red BullsDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 13.73%
2-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 9.24%
3-0 @ 5.32%
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.2%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 21.8%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
2-0
NY Red Bulls
Reyes (25' og.), Choiniere (90+2')
Corbo (27'), Iliadis (53'), Choiniere (59')
Iliadis (65')

Edelman (2'), Duncan (62'), Reyes (71')
Sep 1, 2022 12.30am
Apr 9, 2022 9pm
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Montreal
Fernandez (14')
Long (63'), Edwards (68'), Casseres Jr (87')
Camacho (71'), Quioto (81')
Wanyama (8'), Kone (45'), Waterman (62'), Mihailovic (83')
Oct 30, 2021 9pm
gameweek 43
NY Red Bulls
1-0
Montreal
Gomes (90+1')
Reyes (81')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
gameweek 25
Montreal
2-1
NY Red Bulls
Sunusi (71'), Wanyama (90+8' pen.)
Brault-Guillard (90+12')
Klimala (45+5' pen.)
Tarek (53'), Gomes (83'), Yearwood (89'), Duncan (90+5'), Miguel Coronel (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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