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Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2022 at 6pm UK
Yankee Stadium
New England Revolution

NY City
4 - 2
New England

Magno (10' pen.), Castellanos (44' pen., 82'), Pereira (49')
Castellanos (36'), Haak (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bou (18', 77')
Gil (84')
Farrell (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: New York City FC 2-2 New England Revolution

The Revs and New York possess some of the best playmakers and strikers in the league, but they each tend to suffer breakdowns in discipline near the end of matches, which has forced them to share many points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawNew England Revolution
60.88% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 20.79% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 18.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.56% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)40.44% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.18% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)62.82% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)12.85% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.79% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)39.21% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.59% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)72.36% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 60.88%
    New England Revolution 18.33%
    Draw 20.79%
New York City FCDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.58% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 60.88%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.79%
1-2 @ 5.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.77%
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 18.33%

How you voted: NY City vs New England

New York City FC
70.6%
Draw
17.6%
New England Revolution
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 12.30am
New England
2-2
NY City
NY City win 5-3 on penalties
Buksa (9'), Buchanan (118')
Polster (27'), Buksa (54')
Rodriguez (3'), Castellanos (109')
Castellanos (18'), Rodriguez (58'), Morales (84')
Castellanos (113')
Sep 12, 2021 12am
New England
2-1
NY City
Boateng (21'), Buchanan (65')
Kessler (63'), Buksa (64'), Polster (90'), Gil (90+3')
Rodriguez (11')
Morales (45+2'), Castellanos (52'), Andrade (74')
Morales (53')
Aug 29, 2021 12.30am
NY City
2-0
New England
Castellanos (31', 55')
Rodriguez (37'), Sands (40'), Chanot (45+2'), Thorarinsson (87'), Jasson (90+3')

Farrell (45+4'), Polster (86')
Jun 20, 2021 12.30am
NY City
2-3
New England
T. (55'), Tajouri (85')
Castellanos (39'), Andrade (56'), Sands (77')
Bou (27'), Bell (78'), McNamara (88')
Polster (19'), Maciel (53')
Oct 11, 2020 9.30pm
NY City
1-2
New England
Callens (90+3')
Bunbury (3'), Nguyen (80' pen.)
Nguyen (45'), Caldwell (58'), Rowe (76'), Jones (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462427-313
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192231-910


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