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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
New York City

Cincinnati
4 - 4
NY City

Acosta (15'), Brenner (24', 30', 70')
Nwobodo (57'), Cruz (62'), Brenner (90')
FT(HT: 3-3)
Magno (45'), Heber (45+2', 45+7'), Pereira (52')
Haak (31'), Callens (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Orlando City
Saturday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, June 26 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-3 New York City FC

 While Cincinnati head into Thursday's contest on a high, NYCFC will have been disappointed to lose in the dying embers of their last match against another side competing with them at the top of the table. Nevertheless, the visitors will be motivated by the prospect of returning to the summit with maximum points at the TQL Stadium, and considering their impressive record against Cincinnati, the Boys in Blue will be the strong favourites to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
27.2% (1.657 1.66) 23.69% (0.249 0.25) 49.11% (-1.905 -1.91)
Both teams to score 58.11% (0.691 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.64% (0.215 0.21)43.36% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.24% (0.212 0.21)65.76% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (1.378 1.38)29.31% (-1.376 -1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (1.658 1.66)65.28% (-1.657 -1.66)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21% (-0.637 -0.64)17.79% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.5% (-1.112 -1.11)48.5% (1.114 1.11)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 27.2%
    New York City FC 49.11%
    Draw 23.68%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 6.78% (0.304 0.3)
1-0 @ 6.4% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 3.93% (0.253 0.25)
3-1 @ 2.77% (0.224 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.147 0.15)
3-0 @ 1.61% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.144 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-1 @ 9% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-2 @ 7.77% (-0.409 -0.41)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-3 @ 4.47% (-0.335 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.37% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.93% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 49.11%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY City

FC Cincinnati
36.4%
Draw
18.2%
New York City FC
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY City
Brenner (4')
Cameron (48'), Barreal (74')
Barreal (85'), Atanga (90+5')
Parks (37'), Castellanos (60' pen.)
Tajouri (26'), Morales (69'), Jasson (77'), Johnson (83'), Callens (90+7'), Callens (90+7')
Apr 24, 2021 6pm
NY City
5-0
Cincinnati
Medina (7', 83'), Hagglund (53' og.), Thorarinsson (57'), Castellanos (67')
Thorarinsson (50'), Castellanos (60')

Harris (10'), Cruz (56')
Sep 27, 2020 12am
NY City
4-0
Cincinnati
Mitrita (1', 43'), Tinnerholm (25'), Medina (88')
Callens (34'), Matarrita (61'), Castellanos (78')

Waston (64'), Medunjanin (71')
Sep 13, 2020 12am
NY City
2-1
Cincinnati
Ring (39'), Tinnerholm (55')
Sands (78'), Chanot (84')
Vazquez (74')
Waston (52'), Deplagne (90+5')
Jul 16, 2020 12am
NY City
P-P
Cincinnati
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110
> Full Version


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