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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
Charlotte FC

Nashville
2 - 1
Charlotte FC

Surridge (32'), Muyl (40')
Maher (55')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dejaegere (45+4')
Tavares (55'), Byrne (57'), Privett (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Thursday, March 14 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-1 Charlotte FC

Nashville may be slightly fatigued following their midweek outing in the Champions Cup, and we think they will have to settle for a point in Saturday's home contest, especially after drawing three of their four competitive home games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawCharlotte FC
46.33% (0.72900000000001 0.73) 25.12% (-0.14 -0.14) 28.56% (-0.59 -0.59)
Both teams to score 54.38% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.25% (0.259 0.26)48.75% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.15% (0.237 0.24)70.86% (-0.23599999999999 -0.24)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (0.431 0.43)21.07% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.12% (0.666 0.67)53.88% (-0.667 -0.67)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (-0.298 -0.3)31.11% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (-0.348 -0.35)67.43% (0.348 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 46.32%
    Charlotte FC 28.56%
    Draw 25.11%
Nashville SCDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.116 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.56%

How you voted: Nashville vs Charlotte FC

Nashville SC
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Charlotte FC
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
1-1
Charlotte FC
Williams (90+8' pen.)
Williams (26'), McCarty (56'), Godoy (73'), Bunbury (90+2')
Arfield (90+3')
Jones (27'), Malanda (89'), Byrne (90+6')
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
1-2
Nashville
Bronico (6')
Byrne (11'), Bronico (54')
Williams (39', 90+3')
Bunbury (34'), McCarty (69')
Jul 10, 2022 12am
Charlotte FC
4-1
Nashville
Fuchs (26' pen.), Swiderski (61'), Ruiz (89'), Shinyashiki (90+1')
Williams (67' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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