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Major League Soccer
Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2022 at 1am UK
National Sports Center
Austin FC

Minnesota Utd
2 - 1
Austin

Reynoso (25' pen.), Fragapane (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Driussi (45+2' pen.)
Kolmanic (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

Last Six:
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Monday, August 15 at 2.25am in Major League Soccer

Austin FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Austin 4-3 Kansas
Sunday, August 14 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Austin FC

 The Minnesota defence on home soil, and when you combine that with a hot goalie who seems to have regained his confidence, we expect the Loons to maintain their strong play and come out on top this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Minnesota United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Minnesota United.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawAustin FC
51.36% (-0.253 -0.25) 23.81% (0.023 0.02) 24.83% (0.236 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.15% (0.124 0.12)45.85% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.84% (0.117 0.12)68.16% (-0.113 -0.11)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)17.87% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)48.65% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.264 0.26)32.49% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (0.296 0.3)69.01% (-0.291 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 51.36%
    Austin FC 24.83%
    Draw 23.81%
Minnesota UnitedDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 10% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 51.36%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 24.83%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Austin

Minnesota United
50.0%
Draw
29.2%
Austin FC
20.8%
24
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2022 12.30am
Austin
1-0
Minnesota Utd
Urruti (58')
Cascante (54'), Gallagher (90+5')

Trapp (10'), Boxall (67')
Oct 17, 2021 2am
Austin
0-1
Minnesota Utd

Cascante (42')
Fragapane (16')
Reynoso (59'), Gasper (90+2'), Alonso (90+3')
Jun 24, 2021 1am
Minnesota Utd
2-0
Austin
Fragapane (10'), Hunou (18')

Romana (16'), Fagundez (39')
May 2, 2021 1am
Minnesota Utd
0-1
Austin

Alonso (41'), Boxall (60'), Gasper (90+6')
Fagundez (17')
Romana (74'), Berhalter (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110
> Full Version


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