Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Minnesota United in this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Austin FC |
63.96% | 20.21% | 15.82% |
Both teams to score 52.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.66% | 42.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.25% | 64.74% |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.45% | 12.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.4% | 38.59% |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.29% | 39.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.62% | 76.38% |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Austin FC |
2-0 @ 10.73% 1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 6.86% 4-0 @ 3.85% 4-1 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-2 @ 1.64% 5-0 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.39% Total : 63.96% | 1-1 @ 9.55% 0-0 @ 4.98% 2-2 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.21% | 0-1 @ 4.6% 1-2 @ 4.41% 0-2 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.41% 1-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.92% Total : 15.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |