Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
47.08% ( -0.58) | 24.87% ( 0.22) | 28.06% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 54.85% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.03% ( -0.73) | 47.97% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.86% ( -0.68) | 70.14% ( 0.68) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.58% ( -0.54) | 20.43% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.13% ( -0.86) | 52.87% ( 0.86) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% ( -0.12) | 31.07% ( 0.12) |