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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Columbus Crew Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Columbus Crew
2 - 0
Cincinnati

Camilo Hernandez (16'), Zelarayan (86' pen.)
Moreira (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hagglund (47'), Nwobodo (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Vancouver
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-2 FC Cincinnati

Both of these sides have found themselves amongst the goals at both ends of the pitch of late, and for that reason, we are predicting for this to be an open and entertaining affair on Sunday. Although it appears that something must give between two sides on impressive unbeaten runs, because of this, we are going for a draw at the Mapfre Stadium as a result of the two in-form teams cancelling each other out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
56.95% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 22.55% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 20.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.15% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)67.49% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.38% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)15.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.37% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)44.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.94% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.06% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 56.94%
    FC Cincinnati 20.5%
    Draw 22.54%
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 56.94%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.54%
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 20.5%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Cincinnati

Columbus Crew
46.7%
Draw
20.0%
FC Cincinnati
33.3%
15
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2021 11.30pm
Jul 10, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-2
Columbus Crew
Castillo (1'), Acosta (24')
Castillo (28'), Kubo (32'), Cameron (45+7'), Vallecilla (61'), Barreal (72'), Stanko (88')
Zelarayan (45+1'), Berry (77')
Afful (17'), Mensah (39')
Afful (42')
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-1
Columbus Crew
Kubo (17' pen.), Hagglund (49')
Gutman (7')
Santos (45' pen.)
Alashe (31'), Mensah (37'), Boateng (45+2'), Morris (90+3')
Sep 7, 2020 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-0
Cincinnati
Santos (52'), Zardes (64', 71')
Zardes (82')

Amaya (39'), van der Werff (70'), Waston (90')
Aug 30, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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