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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
DC United

Cincinnati
2 - 1
DC United

Acosta (59'), Barreal (73')
Acosta (39'), Mosquera (70'), Celentano (90+7'), Brenner (90+5'), Kubo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fountas (90')
Greene (21'), Benteke (60'), O'Brien (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 3-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-1 DC United

Both teams are in good form, so we expect this to be an entertaining contest. However, Cincinnati are yet to drop points at home, so we think they will make home advantage count and emerge triumphant.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. DC United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawDC United
58.86% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 22.6% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 18.54% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 50.54% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03)48.07% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.77% (0.032999999999998 0.03)70.24% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (0.018000000000001 0.02)15.99% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (0.024999999999999 0.02)45.31% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.16% (0.026000000000003 0.03)39.85% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.49% (0.021000000000001 0.02)76.51% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 58.85%
    DC United 18.54%
    Draw 22.59%
FC CincinnatiDrawDC United
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 58.85%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 18.54%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs DC United

FC Cincinnati
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
DC United
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
DC United
2-5
Cincinnati
Morrison (26'), Fletcher (46')
Acosta (6'), Brenner (8', 24', 37'), Vazquez (53')
Moreno (30')
Mar 5, 2022 11pm
gameweek 2
Cincinnati
0-1
DC United

Blackett (90+4')
Kamara (90+8' pen.)
Smith (90+1')
Nyeman (80')
Sep 26, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 35
DC United
4-2
Cincinnati
Arriola (7', 41'), Birnbaum (21'), Robertha (72')
Hamid (34')
Vazquez (80'), Acosta (84')
Aug 1, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 20
Cincinnati
0-0
DC United

Gyau (36'), Acosta (60'), Hagglund (64')

Moreno (15'), Mora (41'), Reyna (72')
Nyeman (52'), Mora (90+2')
Oct 19, 2020 12.30am
gameweek 19
Cincinnati
1-2
DC United
Vazquez (66')
Pines (36'), Odoi-Atsem (78')
Rodrigo Asad (27'), Nyeman (32'), Odoi-Atsem (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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