MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 18:58:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Lorient logo

Toulouse
1 - 1
Lorient

Dallinga (72')
Donnum (1'), Martinez (2'), Sierro (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dieng (90+1')
Bakayoko (9'), Talbi (33'), Ponceau (71'), Mendy (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Union SG
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lorient 2-3 Metz
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-2 Lorient

The hosts have not fared too well against Lorient at home in the recent past, winning just one of their previous four Ligue 1 games here, but there have been 19 goals in those previous meetings. Lorient's goal-laden season at both ends may therefore continue in a close encounter which will likely end level, especially considering the visitor's record of just one win in 16 away league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawLorient
50.38% (1.434 1.43) 24.35% (0.17 0.17) 25.27% (-1.603 -1.6)
Both teams to score 54.14% (-2.034 -2.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (-1.998 -2)47.79% (2.001 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (-1.868 -1.87)69.98% (1.87 1.87)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.203 -0.2)18.99% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (-0.341 -0.34)50.54% (0.343 0.34)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (-2.337 -2.34)33.17% (2.34 2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (-2.664 -2.66)69.77% (2.666 2.67)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 50.38%
    Lorient 25.27%
    Draw 24.34%
ToulouseDrawLorient
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.777 0.78)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.595 0.6)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.299 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2% (0.113 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 50.38%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.508 0.51)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.313 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.137 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 25.27%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Lorient

Toulouse
57.9%
Draw
26.3%
Lorient
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 3
Toulouse
2-2
Lorient
Ratao (31'), Dallinga (64')
Dallinga (43'), van den Boomen (72')
Lauriente (2'), Kone (80' pen.)
Le Fee (23')
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
Third Round
Toulouse
0-1
Lorient

Sylla (28'), Yago (45')
Bila (74')
Kamissoko (32')
Feb 8, 2017 6pm
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Toulouse
3-2
Lorient
Toivonen (8', 20', 60')
Braithwaite (83'), Durmaz (92')
Moukandjo (27'), Waris (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille321211950391147
9Rennes331210115244846
10Toulouse331110124243-143
11Reims32118133946-741
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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