Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
We said: Toulouse 1-0 Reims
Plagued by a handful of fresh injury concerns to key players, Reims' trip to Stadium Municipal could be a miserable affair for Still's side, who are without their leading goalscorer and second-highest assister in Teuma.
Les Rouges et Blancs have struggled for defensive resilience on the road either way, and with Toulouse often grinding out results in front of their own supporters, we can envisage Les Violets prolonging their unbeaten record while keeping a clean sheet in the process.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Reims had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result |
| Toulouse | Draw | Reims |
38.19% ( -0.26) | 26.19% ( 0.13) | 35.61% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( -0.41) |
| 48.96% ( -0.53) | 51.03% ( 0.53) |
| 27.1% ( -0.47) | 72.89% ( 0.47) |
| 73.91% ( -0.39) | 26.08% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.86% ( -0.52) | 61.13% ( 0.52) |
| 72.43% ( -0.18) | 27.57% ( 0.18) |
