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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Toulouse

Lille
1 - 1
Toulouse

Yoro (30')
Bentaleb (38'), David (47'), Alexsandro (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dallinga (65')
Spierings (62'), Dallinga (82'), Nicolaisen (90+2'), Cissoko (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Lille
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Toulouse 3-2 Liverpool
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Lille 2-0 Toulouse

Despite Toulouse's win over Liverpool, Lille's impressive home form — and their continued adeptness at keeping clean sheets in front of their fans — could swing Sunday's game in favour of Fonseca's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawToulouse
62.9% (-0.188 -0.19) 20.31% (0.102 0.1) 16.79% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 54.6% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (-0.304 -0.3)40.94% (0.308 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (-0.312 -0.31)63.33% (0.315 0.31)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)12.43% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.66% (-0.306 -0.31)38.34% (0.309 0.31)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)37.65% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.57% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)74.43% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lille 62.89%
    Toulouse 16.79%
    Draw 20.31%
LilleDrawToulouse
2-0 @ 10.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 7.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.69% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.6% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 62.89%
1-1 @ 9.53% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.065 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.31%
1-2 @ 4.65% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.57% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 16.79%

How you voted: Lille vs Toulouse

Lille
88.2%
Draw
11.8%
Toulouse
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 28
Toulouse
0-2
Lille
Alexsandro (85'), Bayo (90+11')
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 8
Lille
2-1
Toulouse
David (5'), Ounas (53')
Chaibi (48')
Feb 22, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 26
Lille
3-0
Toulouse
Remy (2', 39'), Sanches (72')
Osimhen (40')

Leya Iseka (24'), Sangare (89'), Vainqueur (90')
Oct 19, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 10
Toulouse
2-1
Lille
Sanogo (58'), Gradel (66' pen.)
Said (14'), Sanogo (40')
Fonte (93')
Xeka (71'), Araujo (73'), Pied (81'), Fonte (90')
Apr 21, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 33
Toulouse
0-0
Lille
Sidibe (23'), Gradel (41')
Celik (17'), Soumare (53'), Mendes (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille321211950391147
9Rennes331210115244846
10Toulouse331110124243-143
11Reims32118133946-741
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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