Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Toulouse |
62.9% ( -0.19) | 20.31% ( 0.1) | 16.79% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 54.6% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.06% ( -0.3) | 40.94% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.67% ( -0.31) | 63.33% ( 0.31) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.57% ( -0.14) | 12.43% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.66% ( -0.31) | 38.34% ( 0.31) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.35% ( -0.08) | 37.65% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.57% ( -0.07) | 74.43% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Toulouse |
2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.59% Total : 62.89% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.31% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 16.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |