Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lille |
34.41% | 28.02% | 37.56% |
Both teams to score 47.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.59% | 58.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.99% | 79.01% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.03% | 31.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.57% | 68.42% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% | 29.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.91% | 66.09% |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 6.23% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.41% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 11.54% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |