Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
55.72% | 24.64% | 19.63% |
Both teams to score 46.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.37% | 54.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.03% | 75.96% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.47% | 19.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.57% | 51.43% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.57% | 42.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.19% | 78.81% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 13.53% 2-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 5.16% 4-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.81% Total : 55.72% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.11% 1-2 @ 4.97% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |