Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 68.19%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Angers had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Angers |
68.19% ( -0.41) | 19.05% ( 0.18) | 12.76% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 48.54% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.26% ( -0.27) | 43.74% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.87% ( -0.27) | 66.13% ( 0.27) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.21% ( -0.19) | 11.79% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63% ( -0.4) | 37% ( 0.4) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.03% ( 0.19) | 44.97% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.09% ( 0.15) | 80.91% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Angers |
2-0 @ 12.11% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 68.18% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.05% | 0-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.22% Total : 12.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |