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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
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Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Metz logo

PSG
3 - 1
Metz

Vitinha (49'), Mbappe (60', 83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Udol (72')
Herelle (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 1-1 PSG
Sunday, December 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Metz

It would not be beyond the realm of possibility for Metz to switch to a defence-heavy setup in a bid to quell the PSG strikeforce, who are normally in a merciless mood at the Parc des Princes, but their resistance should ultimately prove futile. Profligacy has harmed Enrique's men heading into the Christmas period, but a straightforward success - their 14th in a row against Metz - should come their way before the New Year celebrations commence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 10.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 3-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Metz win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMetz
74.47% (-0.545 -0.55) 15.29% (0.553 0.55) 10.23% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-2.479 -2.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.26% (-2.966 -2.97)32.73% (2.965 2.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.58% (-3.506 -3.51)54.41% (3.504 3.5)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.55% (-0.78099999999999 -0.78)7.45% (0.78 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.21% (-2.069 -2.07)26.79% (2.068 2.07)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58% (-2.169 -2.17)41.99% (2.169 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.57% (-1.937 -1.94)78.42% (1.936 1.94)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 74.47%
    Metz 10.23%
    Draw 15.29%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMetz
2-0 @ 10.54% (0.806 0.81)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.189 0.19)
3-0 @ 9.13% (0.345 0.34)
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.932 0.93)
3-1 @ 7.93% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-0 @ 5.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.15% (-0.332 -0.33)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.287 -0.29)
5-0 @ 3.08% (-0.141 -0.14)
5-1 @ 2.67% (-0.294 -0.29)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.289 -0.29)
6-0 @ 1.33% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.206 -0.21)
6-1 @ 1.16% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 74.47%
1-1 @ 7.05% (0.428 0.43)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.13% (0.471 0.47)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.29%
1-2 @ 3.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.71% (0.269 0.27)
0-2 @ 1.18% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 10.23%

How you voted: PSG vs Metz

Paris Saint-Germain
83.8%
Draw
8.1%
Metz
8.1%
37
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 38
PSG
5-0
Metz
Mbappe (25', 28', 50'), Neymar (31'), Di Maria (67')
Neymar (72')

Traore (23')
Traore (58')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Metz
1-2
PSG
Kouyate (39')
Ndiaga Yade (19'), Maiga (68'), Bronn (73'), Centonze (90+1'), Oukidja (90+6')
Bronn (90+1'), Antonetti (90+2')
Hakimi (5', 90+4')
Mendes (69'), Neymar (90+6')
Apr 24, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 34
Metz
1-3
PSG
Mbappe (4', 59'), Centonze (46'), Icardi (89' pen.)
Angban (15'), Verratti (37'), Mbappe (58'), Kurzawa (60'), Herrera (79')
Sep 16, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 1
PSG
1-0
Metz
Draxler (90+3')
Diallo (1'), Draxler (56')
Diallo (65')

Maiga (46'), Centonze (61')
Apr 4, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 31
PSG
P-P
Metz
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille321211950391147
9Rennes331210115244846
10Toulouse331110124243-143
11Reims32118133946-741
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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