Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
74.38% ( 0.01) | 15.73% ( -0) | 9.88% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.39% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.84% ( -0.01) | 36.16% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.72% ( -0.01) | 58.27% ( 0.01) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.72% ( 0) | 8.27% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.1% ( 0) | 28.89% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.94% ( -0.02) | 45.06% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.01% ( -0.01) | 80.98% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
2-0 @ 11.57% 3-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.99% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.24% 6-1 @ 0.99% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.73% Total : 74.37% | 1-1 @ 7.41% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 15.73% | 0-1 @ 2.97% 1-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 9.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |