Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 75.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.34%) and 0-3 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
9.08% | 15.72% | 75.2% |
Both teams to score 46.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.16% | 38.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.85% | 61.15% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.42% | 48.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.35% | 83.65% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.26% | 8.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.97% | 30.03% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
1-0 @ 3.06% 2-1 @ 2.7% 2-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.08% | 1-1 @ 7.47% 0-0 @ 4.24% 2-2 @ 3.29% Other @ 0.72% Total : 15.72% | 0-2 @ 12.61% 0-1 @ 10.34% 0-3 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 9.11% 1-3 @ 7.4% 0-4 @ 6.25% 1-4 @ 4.51% 0-5 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-5 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.63% 0-6 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.95% Total : 75.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |