Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Strasbourg |
43.46% ( -0.1) | 26.45% ( -0.01) | 30.1% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 51.11% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.58% ( 0.08) | 53.42% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.05% ( 0.07) | 74.95% ( -0.06) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% ( -0.02) | 24.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.18% ( -0.02) | 58.83% ( 0.03) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.61% ( 0.12) | 32.4% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.09% ( 0.14) | 68.91% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.46% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |