Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
30.07% | 26.22% | 43.71% |
Both teams to score 51.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.47% | 52.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.81% | 74.19% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% | 31.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% | 68.41% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% | 23.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% | 58.09% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.07% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 10.92% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-2 @ 7.82% 1-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |