Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.59%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Villarreal |
16.28% | 21.9% | 61.82% |
Both teams to score 48.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.25% | 48.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.14% | 70.86% |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57% | 43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.71% | 79.29% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.76% | 15.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.08% | 43.92% |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 5.53% 2-1 @ 4.39% 2-0 @ 2.33% 3-1 @ 1.24% 3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.63% Total : 16.28% | 1-1 @ 10.4% 0-0 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.89% | 0-1 @ 12.33% 0-2 @ 11.59% 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-3 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 6.14% 0-4 @ 3.42% 1-4 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.59% 0-5 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.22% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.22% Total : 61.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |