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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Sevilla logo

Alaves
4 - 3
Sevilla

Rioja (7'), Duarte (44'), Kike (54', 59')
Gorosabel (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Abqar (15' og.), Lamela (41'), Mir (90+7')
Gudelj (62'), Torres (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Alaves
Monday, August 14 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Sevilla (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 16 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

We said: Alaves 1-2 Sevilla

Sevilla will have been encouraged by their performance against Man City last time out, and they will be desperate to bounce back from their opening-weekend loss in La Liga. Alaves are capable of making this a very tough match for Sevilla, but we are backing the visitors to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawSevilla
40.85% (1.085 1.09) 27.85% (0.562 0.56) 31.3% (-1.647 -1.65)
Both teams to score 47.43% (-2.141 -2.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.66% (-2.475 -2.48)58.34% (2.474 2.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04% (-1.978 -1.98)78.96% (1.976 1.98)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (-0.569 -0.57)28.04% (0.569 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (-0.73 -0.73)63.7% (0.729 0.73)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91% (-2.436 -2.44)34.09% (2.436 2.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22% (-2.708 -2.71)70.77% (2.708 2.71)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 40.84%
    Sevilla 31.29%
    Draw 27.86%
AlavesDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 12.15% (0.92 0.92)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.469 0.47)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.149 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 40.84%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.863 0.86)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.327 -0.33)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 10.28% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.394 -0.39)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.325 -0.33)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.236 -0.24)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 31.29%

How you voted: Alaves vs Sevilla

Alaves
17.3%
Draw
17.3%
Sevilla
65.3%
98
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Alaves
0-1
Sevilla
Rakitic (48')
Mar 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Alaves
0-0
Sevilla
Lejeune (34'), Duarte (49'), Pons (62')
Jordan (12')
Nov 20, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 14
Sevilla
2-2
Alaves
Ocampos (38'), Rakitic (90+2')
Ocampos (45+6'), Mir (60'), Lopetegui (90+5'), Fernando (90+5'), Rakitic (90+5')
Laguardia (5'), Joselu (45+7' pen.)
N'Diaye (45'), Duarte (50'), Mendez (73'), Lejeune (89')
May 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 38
Sevilla
1-0
Alaves
Papu (90+2')
Vidal (29'), Lopetegui (85')
Jan 19, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Alaves
1-2
Sevilla
Mendez (12')
Lejeune (48'), Mendez (56'), Pons (72')
En-Nesyri (3'), Suso (30')
En-Nesyri (81'), Bono (89'), Navas (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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