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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Real Madrid logo

Girona
0 - 3
Real Madrid


Garcia (64'), Stuani (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Joselu (17'), Tchouameni (21'), Bellingham (71')
Arrizabalaga (84'), Rudiger (90+5')
Nacho (90+4')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Girona.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Girona.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Girona
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 2-2 Real Madrid

This is a very, very difficult match to call, and we changed our minds a couple of times before settling on a draw. Real Madrid are the favourites, but Girona's form has been excellent this season, and the Catalan side have also enjoyed their recent meetings with the capital giants, so the spoils could be shared here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Girona had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawReal Madrid
30.69% (0.537 0.54) 25.34% (0.221 0.22) 43.97% (-0.75899999999999 -0.76)
Both teams to score 54.89% (-0.458 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.35% (-0.721 -0.72)48.64% (0.72 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (-0.661 -0.66)70.76% (0.66 0.66)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (0.0039999999999907 0)29.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)65.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.655 -0.66)22.09% (0.653 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55% (-0.994 -0.99)55.44% (0.992 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Girona 30.69%
    Real Madrid 43.97%
    Draw 25.34%
GironaDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.235 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.076 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.69%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.099 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 43.97%

How you voted: Girona vs Real Madrid

Girona
19.5%
Draw
25.6%
Real Madrid
54.9%
133
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Girona
4-2
Real Madrid
Castellanos (12', 24', 46', 62')
Junior (34'), Vazquez (85')
Oct 30, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Real Madrid
1-1
Girona
Junior (70')
Stuani (80' pen.)
Feb 17, 2019 11am
Jan 31, 2019 8.30pm
Jan 24, 2019 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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