Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Girona |
42.16% ( 0.35) | 27.9% ( 0.6) | 29.94% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 46.79% ( -2.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.1% ( -2.47) | 58.9% ( 2.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.61% ( -1.96) | 79.39% ( 1.96) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.41% ( -0.97) | 27.58% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.89% ( -1.26) | 63.11% ( 1.27) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.61% ( -2.01) | 35.39% ( 2.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.85% ( -2.15) | 72.15% ( 2.15) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.88) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |