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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Almeria

Celta Vigo
1 - 0
Almeria

Mingueza (73')
Sanchez (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lopy (78'), Radovanovic (90')
Langa (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-2 Atletico
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Almeria

Almeria are not losing games at the moment, but we are finding it difficult to back them to win considering their struggles in that department this season. Celta's home form has also been very disappointing this term, so we are backing a low-scoring draw in the relegation six-pointer on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAlmeria
47.59% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 25.15% (0.0010000000000012 0) 27.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 53.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)49.65% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)20.88% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.41% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)53.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.09% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 47.59%
    Almeria 27.26%
    Draw 25.15%
Celta VigoDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 10.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 8.34%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.59%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.28%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 27.26%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Almeria

Celta Vigo
57.4%
Draw
29.5%
Almeria
13.1%
122
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 4
Almeria
2-3
Celta Vigo
Akieme (54'), Arribas (68')
Pubill (28')
Nunez (24'), Strand Larsen (33'), Swedberg (87')
Sanchez (55')
Apr 2, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 27
Celta Vigo
2-2
Almeria
Seferovic (10'), Perez (42')
Babic (7'), Puigmal (32')
Oct 29, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 12
Almeria
3-1
Celta Vigo
Lazaro (52'), De la Hoz (60'), Eguaras (90+6')
Veiga (25')
Dec 17, 2015 7pm
Round Four
Celta Vigo
1-0
Almeria
Wass (41')

Velez (40'), Fatau (45'), Zabaco (54')
Dec 2, 2015 8pm
Round Four
Almeria
1-3
Celta Vigo
Pozo (44')
Cuellar (26'), Fatau (41')
Aspas (17', 35'), Gudetti (73')
Aspas (6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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