Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 14.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
66.42% | 18.7% | 14.89% |
Both teams to score 55.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.82% | 37.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.61% | 59.39% |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.61% | 10.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.08% | 33.92% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.28% | 37.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.51% | 74.49% |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 7.39% 4-0 @ 4.29% 4-1 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-2 @ 2.04% 5-0 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.9% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.83% Total : 66.41% | 1-1 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.78% 0-0 @ 3.92% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.7% | 1-2 @ 4.22% 0-1 @ 3.82% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.55% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.06% Total : 14.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |