Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 41.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Getafe |
29.25% | 29.58% | 41.17% |
Both teams to score 42.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.35% | 64.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.36% | 83.64% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.9% | 39.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.18% | 75.82% |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.04% | 30.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.74% | 67.26% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-0 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.51% Total : 29.24% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 12.1% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 14.19% 0-2 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-3 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |