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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 25
Aug 14, 2021 at 11pm UK
National Sports Center
LA Galaxy

Minnesota Utd
0 - 1
LA Galaxy


Gasper (8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cabral (43')
Joveljic (25'), Cabral (64'), Vazquez (90')

Preview: Minnesota United vs. Los Angeles Galaxy - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Los Angeles Galaxy travel to the Allianz Field on Saturday to face Minnesota United in the Western Conference of the MLS, with both teams currently in the final series playoff positions.

Minnesota sit six points behind LA Galaxy, who are third on 32 points, but the Loons have one game in hand on Greg Vanney's side.


Match preview

Minnesota United midfielder Hassani Dotson (31) and defender Chase Gasper (77) celebrate a goal after a goal by defender Brent Kallman (14) against the Houston Dynamo in the second half at Allianz Field on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Adrian Heath's side are on a five-game unbeaten run in the MLS, dating back to July 8 when the side lost 2-0 against Colorado Rapids.

Within this unbeaten string of results, Minnesota have scored twice in four out of the five fixtures, including last time out when they were triumphant against Houston Dynamo.

Minnesota seemed comfortable throughout that game on Sunday, dominating possession and creating the most chances at the Allianz Field, and strikes from Robin Lod and Brent Kallman sealed the three points.

The weekend's result means that Minnesota are now five points clear of Real Salt Lake, who sit just outside the playoff places in eighth, however there is still lots of time for the table to change between now and the end of the season.

Victory against LA Galaxy on Saturday will take Heath's side to within three points of Vanney's team, and with a game in hand on their opponents it is a chance for Minnesota to take a big leap towards catching the third-placed side.

Los Angeles Galaxy forward Javier Hernandez celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal on June 27, 2021© Reuters

Despite being higher than Minnesota in the Western Conference, LA Galaxy have suffered more losses this season than the Loons, but none of those have come in the last three games.

Vanney's side have won just as many games as Western leaders Sporting Kansas City this season, but have not turned enough of their defeats into draws to climb to the summit.

Their last outing was only Galaxy's second draw of the campaign and it was a closely-fought contest at the Dignity Health Sports Park against Vancouver Whitecaps which ended in a 1-1 draw.

Kevin Cabral gave the home side a half time lead but shortly after the break, Ranko Veselinovic equalised for the Whitecaps and that is how the game would go on to conclude.

Both sides created many chances in front of goal so Vanney may interpret the point as one gained rather than two points dropped, and that result has kept Galaxy in touching distance of Sporting KC at the top of the league.

Minnesota United Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W

Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Minnesota United FC head coach Adrian Heath on May 30, 2021© Reuters

Minnesota have two players in the physio room as Michael Boxall and Franco Fragapane continue their recoveries from slightly longer-term injuries.

Winger Lod has been the player Minnesota have relied on most when it comes to scoring goals, currently the club's top goalscorer this season after netting six times, and his teammates are all at least four goals behind him.

Goalkeeper Tyler Miller has kept six clean sheets in the first 13 games, which is only two fewer than the league's leading number ones Joe Willis and William Yarbrough.

Galaxy's top scorer Javier Hernandez has not featured for the side since the end of June and he is likely to miss out again this weekend - the striker is expected to return to action this month.

Attacking midfielder Victor Vazquez is expected to be absent on Saturday having not played since July 31, and his creative ability will be missed as he has provided three goals for his teammates this season.

Vanney made three changes from the side which beat Salt Lake for their last game, but he could revert back to the same starting 11 that picked up the three points a week ago.

Minnesota United possible starting lineup:
Miller; Gasper, Dibassy, Kallman, Metanire; Dotson, Trapp; Finlay, Reynoso, Lod; Hunou

Los Angeles Galaxy possible starting lineup:
Bond; Villafana, Williams, Coulibaly, Araujo; Grandsir, Raveloson, Saldana; Kljestan, Cabral, Alvarez


SM words green background

We say: Minnesota United 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

Minnesota are in good form in front of goal having netted twice in each of their last four games and that is likely to continue this Saturday, with LA Galaxy's defence shipping 28 goals already this campaign.

Both sides will be looking to cement their place in the playoff spots as the league edges closer to the halfway stage, but Minnesota could use their good home form - winning six of the nine games they have played at the Allianz Field - to their advantage.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs LA Galaxy

Minnesota United
66.7%
Draw
23.8%
Los Angeles Galaxy
9.5%
21
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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