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[monks data]
LA Galaxy
Major League Soccer
Mar 19, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
The Home Depot Center
Orlando City

LA Galaxy
0 - 1
Orlando City

FT(HT: 0-1)
Torres (9')
Ruan (44'), Moutinho (70'), Araujo (90+3')

Preview: Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Orlando City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Both looking to bounce back from defeats last weekend, Los Angeles Galaxy and Orlando City will do battle in California on Saturday.

After consecutive wins, the hosts suffered their first loss of the Major League Soccer campaign last time out, while their visitors have had a mixed start in the Eastern Conference.


Match preview

Los Angeles Galaxy head coach Greg Vanney reacts to a play against the Seattle Sounders FC during the second half at Lumen Field on March 12, 2022© Reuters

After a disappointing MLS season last time around, in which they missed out on the playoffs, LA Galaxy enjoyed a winning start to the new term as they set their sights on a high finish this time around.

Greg Vanney's side began with a tough clash against MLS champions New York City FC, and the game looked set to end goalless until Javier Hernandez popped up with a 90th-minute winner.

They then made it back-to-back 1-0 victories as they beat Charlotte FC away from home thanks to Efrain Alvarez's 77th-minute finish.

Vanney's men were unable to make it three from three last weekend, though, as they eventually fell to a 3-2 away defeat to Seattle Sounders, despite Hernandez and Douglas Costa popping up with goals to make it 1-0 and 2-2 respectively.

While the league table should not be studied at this stage, Galaxy will know that three wins from four games certainly constitutes a strong start, and with their squad expected to fare well in the Western Conference this term, they will hope to establish themselves in the pack at the top of the division in weeks to come.

Orlando City midfielder Junior Urso (11) celebrates after scoring a goal in the first half against FC Cincinnati at Orlando City Stadium on March 12, 2022© Reuters

They welcome an Orlando City side who also made a winning start to the season, as Alexandre Pato and Benji Michel got on the scoresheet in a 2-0 home victory over CF Montreal.

That followed a strong season in their Conference last time around, as the Lions finished on 51 points from 34 matches before being dumped out of the playoffs in disappointing fashion in the first round.

In their bid to make it two wins from two, Oscar Pareja's side travelled to take on Chicago Fire, but they were only able to take a point as the game finished goalless before being handed a first league defeat of the season last time out.

The Lions hosted FC Cincinnati last weekend, and, despite Junior Urso drawing them level before the break, Brandon Vazquez netted his second goal of the game to condemn them to a 2-1 beating on home turf.

Pareja will certainly not be overly pleased with his side's shaky start, and they will hope to establish a run beginning on Saturday before the division truly takes shape.

Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • W
  • L

Orlando City Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Los Angeles Galaxy forward Javier Hernandez (14) celebrates with midfielder Efrain Alvarez (26) after scoring a goal against the Seattle Sounders FC during the first half at Lumen Field on March 12, 2022© Reuters

LA Galaxy remain without Jorge Villafana and Adam Saldana, as the pair continue to battle through injuries.

Javier Hernandez has shown his clinical edge in the early stages of the campaign, and the Mexican will continue to lead the line having netted two goals in the first three MLS games.

He will again be supported by former Bayern Munich and Juventus winger Douglas Costa, who arrived in California prior to the campaign.

Orlando City headed into the new term without forward Daryl Dike, who departed for West Bromwich Albion in the off-season, although Brazilian star Alexandre Pato is more than competent to lead the attack.

Centre-back Robin Jansson returned to action after a suspension last time out, and he should again partner Antonio Carlos in front of Peruvian international goalkeeper Pedro Gallese.

Junior Urso offers plenty of quality in midfield, while Mauricio Pereyra will support the front line.

Los Angeles Galaxy possible starting lineup:
Bond; Araujo, Coulibaly, DePuy, Edwards; Delgado, Raveloson; Costa, Cabral; Alvarez, Hernandez

Orlando City possible starting lineup:
Gallese; Teixeira, Carlos, Jansson, Moutinho; Araujo, Urso; Torres, Pereyra; Pato, Kara


SM words green background

We say: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 Orlando City

Given the quality in each of their ranks, we predict a close encounter on Saturday between two well-matched sides.

LA Galaxy have been slightly more convincing in the early stages of the campaign, and for that reason, alongside the benefit of home advantage, we fancy them to scrape a narrow win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs Orlando City

Los Angeles Galaxy
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Orlando City
0.0%
7
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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