MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 14:57:41| >> :120:77457:77457:
Rakow
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Zaglebiowski Park Sportowy
Sporting Lisbon

Rakow
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Piasecki (79')
Berggren (19'), Kochergin (44'), Carlos (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coates (14')
Coates (8'), Diomande (67')
Gyokeres (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gornik 2-1 Rakow
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: CD Olivais 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, October 21 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Rakow Czestochowa 0-3 Sporting Lisbon

The Polish champions will be desperate to pick up their first points of the group stage, but we can only envisage them being outclassed by a Sporting Lisbon side with superior quality all over the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Rakow CzestochowaDrawSporting Lisbon
20.74% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.68% (0.0020000000000024 0) 56.58% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 53.9% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)45.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.72% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.04%35.95% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.27%72.73% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.16%15.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.98% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)45.02% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Rakow Czestochowa 20.74%
    Sporting Lisbon 56.57%
    Draw 22.68%
Rakow CzestochowaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.49%
2-0 @ 2.98%
3-1 @ 1.87%
3-2 @ 1.73%
3-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 20.74%
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.68%
0-1 @ 10.49%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-2 @ 9.67%
1-3 @ 6.08%
0-3 @ 5.94%
2-3 @ 3.11%
1-4 @ 2.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.43%
1-5 @ 1.03%
0-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 56.57%

How you voted: Rakow vs Sporting Lisbon

Rakow Czestochowa
4.8%
Draw
9.7%
Sporting Lisbon
85.5%
62
rhs 2.0
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