MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 11:36:45| >> :120:65401:65401:
Sporting Lisbon
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Atalanta logo

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 2
Atalanta

Gyokeres (76' pen.)
Goncalves (84'), Braganca (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Scalvini (33'), Ruggeri (43')
Djimsiti (51'), Toloi (60'), Kolasinac (76'), Scamacca (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farense 2-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, September 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Atalanta BC

The two sides both boast plenty of quality all over the pitch and will be keen to go top of the group with three points on Thursday. We certainly anticipate a tight contest and just give the edge to Ruben Amorim's side on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawAtalanta BC
56.18% (0.508 0.51) 23.12% (-0.176 -0.18) 20.7% (-0.334 -0.33)
Both teams to score 52.42% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (0.331 0.33)47.32% (-0.333 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (0.307 0.31)69.55% (-0.309 -0.31)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.29599999999999 0.3)16.65% (-0.299 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.5% (0.532 0.53)46.5% (-0.535 -0.54)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.9% (-0.147 -0.15)37.1% (0.145 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11% (-0.144 -0.14)73.89% (0.14200000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 56.18%
    Atalanta BC 20.7%
    Draw 23.12%
Sporting LisbonDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.93% (0.094 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.024 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 56.18%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 20.7%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Atalanta

Sporting Lisbon
64.3%
Draw
15.7%
Atalanta BC
20.0%
115
rhs 2.0
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