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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
48.45% | 25.12% | 26.43% |
Both teams to score 52.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.87% | 50.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.9% | 72.1% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.29% | 20.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.68% | 53.32% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.53% | 33.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.89% | 70.11% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-0 @ 4.51% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.61% Total : 48.44% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.59% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.37% Total : 26.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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