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Fortuna Sittard
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Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Almere City
2 - 3
Sparta

Cathline (5'), Robinet (87')
Floranus (40'), Resink (58'), Koopmeiners (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Lauritsen (19'), van der Kust (28'), Verschueren (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Almere City
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-2 Heracles
Saturday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 2-2 Sparta Rotterdam

The last seven meetings between Almere City and Sparta Rotterdam have produced a combined 28 goals and we anticipate another action-packed contest at the Yanmar Stadion this weekend. We predict both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawSparta Rotterdam
29.19% (0.165 0.16) 24.95% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 45.85% (-0.197 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.36% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)47.65% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)69.85% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.92% (0.099000000000004 0.1)30.08% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.78% (0.119 0.12)66.21% (-0.122 -0.12)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)20.83% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.5% (-0.16 -0.16)53.5% (0.156 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 29.19%
    Sparta Rotterdam 45.85%
    Draw 24.94%
Almere CityDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 7.53% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 29.19%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 9.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.84% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 45.85%

How you voted: Almere City vs Sparta

Almere City
19.0%
Draw
33.3%
Sparta Rotterdam
47.6%
21
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 11
Sparta
1-2
Almere City
Kitolano (84')
Robinet (12'), Hansen (76')
Mar 15, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 29
Almere City
1-3
Sparta
Loen (26')
Mirani (92')
Rayhi (12'), Ache (51'), Duarte (85')
Auassar (37'), Faye (74')
Dec 7, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 17
Sparta
6-1
Almere City
Rayhi (9'), Veldwijk (38', 62', 88'), Wuytens (48'), Dervisoglu (90')
Vriends (21'), Duarte (30'), Auassar (49')
Wuytens (21' og.)
Receveur (47'), Ramos (74')
Ramos (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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