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Lyon
Coupe de France | Final
May 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
PSG logo

Lyon
vs.
PSG

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between Lyon and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, May 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Metz 0-2 PSG
Sunday, May 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We say: Lyon 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain

 PSG's pair of Ligue 1 successes over Lyon in 2023-24 may have crossed into drubbing territory, but Sage's revitalised men are sure to give Enrique's troops an exceptional run for their money on Saturday, especially with Les Parisiens losing their way a touch in the dying embers of the term. However, with several well-rested troops coming back into the XI, Coupe de France title number 15 should still come Les Parisiens way, as Mbappe packs one last medal into his Spain-bound suitcase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Lyon has a probability of 37.09% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Lyon win is 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.65%).

Result
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
37.09% (0.423 0.42) 23.66% (0.055 0.05) 39.25% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 62.75% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.81% (-0.229 -0.23)39.19% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.48% (-0.237 -0.24)61.52% (0.234 0.23)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.107 0.11)21.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.167 0.17)54.24% (-0.169 -0.17)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-0.318 -0.32)20.26% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (-0.511 -0.51)52.6% (0.508 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 37.09%
    Paris Saint-Germain 39.25%
    Draw 23.65%
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.061 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.67% (0.092 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.16% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 37.09%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.25%

Who will win Saturday's Coupe de France clash between Lyon and PSG?

Lyon
Paris Saint-Germain
Lyon
40.7%
Paris Saint-Germain
59.3%
27
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 30
PSG
4-1
Lyon
Matic (3' og.), Beraldo (6'), Ramos (32', 42')
Nuamah (37')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Lyon
1-4
PSG
Tolisso (74' pen.)
Tolisso (3'), Maitland-Niles (58')
Mbappe (4' pen., 45+2'), Hakimi (20'), Asensio (38')
Hernandez (48'), Zaire-Emery (73')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
PSG
0-1
Lyon
Barcola (56')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Lyon
0-1
PSG
Messi (5')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Lyon
1-1
PSG
Paqueta (7')
Palmieri (84'), Boateng (90')
Kehrer (76')
Verratti (43'), Dagba (59')
> Preview
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