Nacional

2 - 0

Libertad

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.