Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norwich City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City |
41.1% ( 0.17) | 26.59% ( -0.04) | 32.3% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.54% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.72% ( 0.13) | 53.28% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.17% ( 0.12) | 74.83% ( -0.11) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.45% ( 0.15) | 25.55% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.59% ( 0.21) | 60.41% ( -0.21) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.22% ( -0.02) | 30.78% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.95% ( -0.02) | 67.05% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.1% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 32.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
> Championship Full Table |