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Porto
Champions League | Round of 16
Feb 17, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Juventus logo

Porto
2 - 1
Juventus

Taremi (2'), Marega (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chiesa (82')
de Ligt (63'), Danilo (81'), Demiral (87'), Sandro (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Porto and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match.

Result
PortoDrawJuventus
49.32%22.69%27.99%
Both teams to score 62.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89%38.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62%60.37%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26%15.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.16%44.84%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95%26.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.91%61.08%
Score Analysis
    Porto 49.32%
    Juventus 27.99%
    Draw 22.69%
PortoDrawJuventus
2-1 @ 9.43%
1-0 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-0 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 3.91%
4-1 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 49.32%
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.1%
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 6.86%
0-1 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 1.04%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.99%

How you voted: Porto vs Juventus

Porto
12.0%
Draw
15.1%
Juventus
72.9%
801
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2017 7.45pm
Round of 16
Juventus
1-0
Porto
Dybala (42' pen.)
Cuadrado (12')

Layun (31'), Andre (36')
Pereira (41')
Feb 22, 2017 7.45pm
Round of 16
Porto
0-2
Juventus

Telles (25'), Pereira (45'), Herrera (85'), Marcano (89')
Telles (27')
Pjaca (72'), Alves (74')
Lichtsteiner (50')
rhs 2.0
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