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Champions League header

Champions League
Ajax
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Liverpool logo

Ajax
0 - 3
Liverpool

FT(HT: 0-1)
Salah (42'), Nunez (49'), Elliott (52')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Ajax and Liverpool.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Ajax and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Ajax.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Liverpool's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-4 Ajax
Saturday, October 22 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Liverpool

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We said: Ajax 1-2 Liverpool

 We expect a fiercely competitive game on Wednesday, with both teams needing a positive result to boost their chances of progressing to the knockout stages. Given that a draw is essentially of little use to Ajax, Schreuder will almost certainly go all out for the win, potentially playing into Liverpool's hands in transition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.27%) and 1-0 (5.13%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawLiverpool
42.79% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 21.82%35.39% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 69.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.88% (0.0020000000000095 0)30.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.67% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.33% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)15.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.51% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)43.48% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.96% (0.013999999999996 0.01)18.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.07% (0.027000000000001 0.03)48.92% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 42.79%
    Liverpool 35.39%
    Draw 21.82%
AjaxDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 5.13% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.22%
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 42.79%
1-1 @ 8.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 7.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 7.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 4.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.39%

How you voted: Ajax vs Liverpool

Ajax
27.2%
Draw
13.9%
Liverpool
59.0%
563
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 8pm
Group A
Liverpool
2-1
Ajax
Salah (17'), Matip (89')
Kudus (27')
Alvarez (59')
Dec 1, 2020 8pm
Group D
Liverpool
1-0
Ajax
Jones (58')
Wijnaldum (70'), Henderson (90+1'), Mane (90+2')

Schuurs (42'), Blind (55')
Oct 21, 2020 8pm
Group D
Ajax
0-1
Liverpool

Promes (90+3')
Tagliafico (35' og.)
Milner (38'), Alexander-Arnold (80')
rhs 2.0
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